First 3G and now 4G
Just about 1 week ago (5/5/ 2004), we wrote about a research study by Analysys Research that predicted that the number of users of the high-speed data protocol 3G (UMTS) would rise from 600,000 at the end of 2003 to 240 million by 2009. Our comment was that while these are nice numbers, estimates were estimates and history showed that they keep changing, dependend on research supplier or geographic region.
Now Ericsson's Vice President of Research, Ulf Wahlberg, announced new study findings related to the introduction of 4G services - which is the service coming after 3G services (http://www.computerweekly.com/articles/article.asp?liArticleID=130472&liFlavourID=1&sp=1). He defines defined 4G as mobile telephony at a data rate of 100Mbps globally, that is, between any two points in the world. Locally, 1G bps will be possible. Which is fascinating espcially considering the timeframe - those services are suppose to be available in 2012, with licenses being given out in about 4 years from now.
If this should really be true, than poor telcos who shipped out so much money to get the 3G licenses and are now in the process of establishing the service.
Wahlberg states as supporting argument that new telephony systems would be launched every 10 years - which might or might not be correct - but from which point do you count the 10 years? From the point of time, when the technology was discovered, or from the launch - where? And well, 3G just takes off - slowly, or better, very slowly - so let's just wait for the next estimates to come, will we?
Just about 1 week ago (5/5/ 2004), we wrote about a research study by Analysys Research that predicted that the number of users of the high-speed data protocol 3G (UMTS) would rise from 600,000 at the end of 2003 to 240 million by 2009. Our comment was that while these are nice numbers, estimates were estimates and history showed that they keep changing, dependend on research supplier or geographic region.
Now Ericsson's Vice President of Research, Ulf Wahlberg, announced new study findings related to the introduction of 4G services - which is the service coming after 3G services (http://www.computerweekly.com/articles/article.asp?liArticleID=130472&liFlavourID=1&sp=1). He defines defined 4G as mobile telephony at a data rate of 100Mbps globally, that is, between any two points in the world. Locally, 1G bps will be possible. Which is fascinating espcially considering the timeframe - those services are suppose to be available in 2012, with licenses being given out in about 4 years from now.
If this should really be true, than poor telcos who shipped out so much money to get the 3G licenses and are now in the process of establishing the service.
Wahlberg states as supporting argument that new telephony systems would be launched every 10 years - which might or might not be correct - but from which point do you count the 10 years? From the point of time, when the technology was discovered, or from the launch - where? And well, 3G just takes off - slowly, or better, very slowly - so let's just wait for the next estimates to come, will we?
posted by Andreas @ 6:33 pm
<< Home